Economist & computational social scientist
My biggest professional passion is working in and contributing to applied research envrionments. I have spent the past ten years contributing to corporate research in the public, financial, and non-financial corporate sectors. As always, research did not always succeed in producing answers that drove innovation and the attainment of corporate objectives, but it often did and I felt was always worthwhile.
For the past two plus years, I have been the head of global economics at Pfizer, where I took over a position that was mostly charged with setting the in-house view on the prospects for cyclical and structural drivers of the global economic landscape and extended it to provide microeconomic consulting, data analysis, and modeling advisory services across the organization, including applying econometric, machine learning, and agent based modeling applications for global pricing, corporate finance, corporate affairs, clinical practices, and beyond.
Previoulsy, I spent over a decade as an economist at the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund where I worked on economies across most regions of the world and covered problems in the areas of macroeconomic growth, economic development, financial development, demographics, migration, and the impact of new technologies on the manufacturing sector. In my last position, I spent time in the World Bank’s research department (DECPG) on the Global Modeling and Anlytics division and the Global Macroeconomics division, which are responsible for forecasting, modeling and exploring future scenarios for economic growth and development.
I also served as chief economist at a quant hedge fund where we worked with teams of university researching on how to integrate U.S. and global macro forecasts into reversion and momentum strategies to generate high and low frequency signals for a range of asset classes, particularly U.S. and global equities. I also managed a portfolio of long-only global equities.
I completed my PhD at the London School of Economics and have taught part-time at McGill, LSE, Georgetown, and NYU.
Global Monitoring Report 2015/2016: Development Goals in an Era of Demographic Change, World Bank global flagship report, authored by a World Bank DEC team, October 2015. Featured a chart listed by the New Yorker as one of the Four Charts that Defined the World in 2015. (Link)
The Caucasus and Central Asia: Transitioning to Emerging Markets, International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Departmental Paper 14/2. I authored the bits on political economy and structural reforms and worked on monetary policy.(Link)
Remittances, Institutions and Economic Growth, World Development, 37, 1. A widely cited paper on the impact of remittances on longer-term patterns of economic growth. Authored in 2009 with N. Catrinescu, M. Leon-Ledesma and M. Piracha. Selected as an Outstanding Research Product by the World Bank in the areas of trade and integration in 2009-11.(Link)
East Asia Economic Update: Capturing New Sources of Growth, World Bank, May 2012. I was lead author of the Bank’s flagship economic monitor for East Asia and the Pacific.(Link)
Spotlight on European economic growth since 1945 in Golden Growth in Restoring the Luster of the European Economic Model, World Bank regional flagship report, April 2012. I authored a section in this widely cited study on the history of post-war economic growth, with a focus on productivity growth, in Europe as compared with the U.S. and other parts of the world.(Link)
International Financial Co-operation: Political Economics of Compliance with the 1988 Basel Accord, Routledge, February 2008. Based on my doctoral thesis, this is a global comparative analysis of the implementation of the first Basel agreement for banks’ credit risks.(Link)