Economist & computational social scientist
In the spirit of Franco Modigliani’s reflections on his own career, I have had many adventures as an economist. Over the past two decades, since earning my PhD from the London School of Economics, I have worked across policy institutions, capital markets, and global corporations, advising senior leaders on macroeconomic risk, demand dynamics, and structural change.
I spent roughly 20 years of experience covering economies across most regions of the world with the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, before serving as Chief Economist in both a quant hedge fund and a $300bn public corporation. In these roles, I built macroeconometric and machine learning models to forecast global growth, equity markets, bond yields, and commodities, and translated those insights into board briefings, C-suite strategy sessions, and enterprise-wide decision frameworks.
But, primarily my work has focused on the major forces shaping the global economy, including technological transformation, demographic change, migration, climate risk, and evolving patterns of production and investment. I have worked closely with many of the world’s largest public and private sector organisations, often on the ground and across regions, at moments of both expansion and crisis.
Today, I advise consumer and global business leaders on how macroeconomic forces shape behaviour, demand, pricing power, and competitive positioning. Through my advisory work and as co-founder of A Working Title LLC, I operate at the intersection of macroeconomics, behavioural insight, and strategic narrative, helping organisations align strategy and communication with real economic conditions and long-term value creation.
My research and commentary on macroeconomics, finance, and corporate strategy have appeared in The Economist, the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, Vogue Business, Jing Daily, and CNN. I have also taught economics and finance at LSE, McGill, Georgetown, King’s College London, and SCAD.
I have extensive experience in speaking with the media as well as academic and industry conferences. Please feel free to reach out if you are interested.
The Differentiation Economy: Why Narrative Systems Will Define Growth in the AI Era A look around the corner on the macroeconomic and business strategy trends that will drive differentation in elevated retail brand performance in 2026. (Link)
Global Monitoring Report 2015/2016: Development Goals in an Era of Demographic Change, World Bank global flagship report, authored by a World Bank DEC team, October 2015. Featured a chart listed by the New Yorker as one of the Four Charts that Defined the World in 2015. (Link)
Co-created the World Bank’s annual Country Policy and Institutional Assessment This quantitative index scores every borrower economy annually across a range 16 indicators that help drive inclusive and sustainable economic growth. (Link)
The Caucasus and Central Asia: Transitioning to Emerging Markets, International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Departmental Paper 14/2. I authored the bits on political economy and structural reforms and worked on monetary policy.(Link)
Remittances, Institutions and Economic Growth, World Development, 37, 1. A widely cited paper on the impact of remittances on longer-term patterns of economic growth. Authored in 2009 with N. Catrinescu, M. Leon-Ledesma and M. Piracha. Selected as an Outstanding Research Product by the World Bank in the areas of trade and integration in 2009-11.(Link)
East Asia Economic Update: Capturing New Sources of Growth, World Bank, May 2012. I was lead author of the Bank’s flagship economic monitor for East Asia and the Pacific.(Link)
Spotlight on European economic growth since 1945 in Golden Growth in Restoring the Luster of the European Economic Model, World Bank regional flagship report, April 2012. I authored a section in this widely cited study on the history of post-war economic growth, with a focus on productivity growth, in Europe as compared with the U.S. and other parts of the world.(Link)
International Financial Co-operation: Political Economics of Compliance with the 1988 Basel Accord, Routledge, February 2008. Based on my doctoral thesis, this is a global comparative analysis of the implementation of the first Basel agreement for banks’ credit risks.(Link)